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Sector deep-dive

Nature, Agriculture & Food

280

Companies

24.4%

OF ASEAN-6

1,148

TOTAL COMPANIES IN ASEAN-6

Top Stories in 2026

Nature, Agriculture & Food spans three tightly linked systems: the natural resources everything else relies on (forests, mangroves, reefs and soil); the roughly 100 million smallholder farming households who work that land; and the food security and nutrition of everyone else, which both of those ultimately produce. 

It is the largest sector in this Landscape, with 280 startups and SMEs. 

All three are under pressure at once: ecosystem loss is accelerating; farmers are still unable to access the credit they need; and the region's food supply is increasingly exposed to shocks from outside the region as much as from within it. Weather-related disasters cost Southeast Asia an estimated US$124 billion between 1993 and 2018, and that exposure is now being tested by shocks landing more frequently than before.

Nowhere else in this Landscape do cutting emissions and building resilience overlap so completely, because these three parts feed into each other. Degraded nature makes farming more expensive. Expensive, precarious farming makes food security more expensive. A stressed food system pushes farmers to clear more land, degrading nature further.

Breaking that cycle means building backup capacity, variety, and fair access to funding into all three parts.

1

Ecosystem loss is creating a market for restoration finance. 

Ecosystem loss and restoration finance are two sides of the same failure. UNEP found that ASEAN-specific nature-based solutions investment was just US$8 billion in 2023, against US$320 billion in nature-harmful finance (a 40:1 ratio, worse than the 30:1 global figure). ASEAN needs a 7-fold increase to reach US$54 billion/year by 2030 to meet Rio Convention targets. Most investment has gone to conservation, rather than to actually restoring what has been degraded.

Southeast Asia's peatlands, mangroves and forests are at the centre of that imbalance. Clearing land for palm oil, rubber and wood pulp drives half of Asia-Pacific's forest loss, in part because national accounts do not price the carbon storage or flood protection these ecosystems provide. Indonesia shows the limits of the response: deforestation rose 66% in 2025 to its highest level since 2016, even as BRGM, the national mangrove restoration agency, completed only 14% of its 600,000 ha mandate and was dissolved at the end of 2024.

Climate★★★

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2

A Super El Niño threatens Southeast Asia's next harvest cycle.

Southeast Asia has already seen what a severe El Niño, the weather pattern that brings drought to parts of the region every few years, can do to a harvest. The 2015-16 event cut palm oil output by 13% in Malaysia and 5-10% in Indonesia. Thailand's 2020 drought cut rice production by 40% against the previous season, and a forecasted El Niño drought is projected to cost rice output to fall ~5.4 million tonnes.

CIIP classifies El Niño (and La Niña) as a "predictable range" hazard, events that recur often enough, and with enough warning, that forecasting and financing arranged in advance can do real good – unlike a one-off catastrophic shock that no amount of preparation could fully offset. The tools to act on that predictability already exist, and they are mostly data and insurance products rather than dams, sea walls or other physical infrastructure. Bain values Asia- Pacific's climate risk intelligence market, hazard mapping, flood forecasting, and early-warning systems, at US$1 billion by 2030.

Climate★★★

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3

Fertiliser and climate shocks are compounding each other.

Following the outbreak of the Iran conflict, prices of urea, the fertiliser most rice farmers depend on, spiked 42% to ~US$700 a tonne in under two weeks. Indonesia's farmers warned of a shortfall of subsidised fertiliser, and the Philippines government has warned domestic rice output could fall by 20 to 50% as a result of the fertiliser crisis.

The region has little cushion against this kind of shock: it imports 70-90% of its fertilisers, and no ASEAN country produces phosphate or potash significantly, except Laos. Climate stress is compounding the pressure.

This has the potential to turn biological alternatives to synthetic fertiliser into a commercial necessity. As a start, a small trial on 20 rice farms in Vietnam has found that a microbial biofertiliser replaced up to half of farmers' nitrogen fertiliser with no loss of yield.

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4

A widening yield gap is demanding more innovations at the farm level. 

Southeast Asia's yield gap is being pulled from both ends. Climate stress is cutting potential yields, with rice grain yields falling 6-7% for every 1°C of warming, while farm labour disappears. Agricultural employment in Cambodia, Thailand and Vietnam has halved in two decades, and farmers average over 50 years old. Mechanisation remains limited: the region averages around 1.8 horsepower per hectare, against 16 in Japan and 17 in the United States.

That gap is pulling in capital. Agrifood tech investment in Southeast Asia reached US$1.27 billion in 2022, six times 2018 levels. WEF and CIIP point to the same near-term lever: precision farming and irrigation technology, sensors, AI-scheduling, automated valves and pumps can significantly reduce water consumption while lifting yields, without clearing new land. Thailand (Alternate Wetting and Drying) and the Philippines (Joint Crediting Mechanism letting AWD projects register for carbon credits directly) show the model working at national scale.

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5

Smallholder farmers cannot access the credit they need, a gap worth nearly US$200 billion.

Smallholder farmer financing demand exceeds supply by more than US$200 billion a year, a gap CIIP expects to widen by a further US$100–130 billion annually without intervention.

In Southeast Asia, the shortfall concentrates in longer-term loans: money for irrigation, mechanisation and storage, and to replant export crops like coffee, cocoa and palm after old trees stop producing – and also to adopt better farming inputs and practices generally.

CIIP points to one reason: blended finance – public or philanthropic money used to de-risk private investment – is deployed in Southeast Asian agriculture at roughly half the global average. It attributes this to long and costly deal structuring, funders' unfamiliarity with agricultural projects, and reluctance to lend to higher-risk borrowers such as smallholders.

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6

The alternative foods sector is turning agricultural waste into new ingredients. 

Southeast Asia's agrifood waste is becoming an ingredient category rather than a disposal problem. WEF sizes "reducing food loss in supply chains" at US$367 billion a year in nature-positive business value globally, naming agricultural and food waste repurposing as the investible opportunity behind it. Circular use of crop residues and food waste can cut emissions, reduce pollution and improve farm economics. However, scalability remains the open challenge. 

Alternative proteins are the other half of the story. WEF names plant, fermentation, cell, insect and algae-based proteins as an emerging opportunity, requiring less land than livestock and already presenting high growth for alternative protein manufacturers. For Southeast Asia, the opportunity is localisation: plant-based, microbial and cultivated seafood formulated for Asian markets rather than imported from elsewhere.

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Country Distribution

Where the 280 startups in this sector are headquartered across ASEAN-6.

Singapore
113
Indonesia
47
Malaysia
41
Vietnam
33
Thailand
32
Philippines
14

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